Playoff Odds
The League · 2026 · after Week 9 · 5 weeks left
Chance to make the playoffs
GEEKS >99
VIT >99
DANG 98
WABS 97
CBOY 95
DREAM 95
SKINS 89
Playoff line · 7 spots
JOCKS 15
NINJA 5
MWS 5
FIRE 1
DMOC 1
PAIN <1
DEAD 0
MUSIC 0
MAVS 0
Odds are an estimate from 10,000 simulated seasons.
Chance at a first-round bye
- Gridiron Geeks 48%
- Vitside 46%
- Da Dangsters 3%
- Pigskins 1%
Week 10: the games that move it most
- Mariachi Ninjas vs Gridiron Geeks Bye odds NINJA 0% now, 0% with a win, 0% with a loss GEEKS 48% now, 52% with a win, 33% with a loss
- Vitside vs Fire Ready Bye odds VIT 46% now, 51% with a win, 33% with a loss FIRE 0% now, 0% with a win, 0% with a loss
- Computer Jocks vs Wascawy Wabbits Playoff odds JOCKS 15% now, 23% with a win, 8% with a loss WABS 97% now, >99% with a win, 93% with a loss
- Pigskins vs Dark Magicians Playoff odds SKINS 89% now, 95% with a win, 84% with a loss DMOC 1% now, 1% with a win, 0% with a loss
- Da Dangsters vs The Dream Playoff odds DANG 98% now, >99% with a win, 97% with a loss DREAM 95% now, 98% with a win, 91% with a loss
How these are figured
We play out the rest of the regular season 10,000 times. Each team scores around its season average (pulled a little toward the league average early on), with the week-to-week swing this league actually has. Every simulated season is seeded the way the league seeds, and the odds are how often each team got in.
Ties are broken with this league's own tiebreakers, in the league's order (head-to-head, division record and the rest). MFL's Power Rank is the one step we can't reproduce, so it's skipped and the next one decides. It's still an estimate of the weeks left, not a guarantee.
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